The researchers predicted and found that heroin addicts valued an extra dose of buprenorphine more highly when they were currently craving it (right before the next dose) than when they were not craving it (right after receiving buprenorphine) - even when they knew the next dose was 5 days off.
"If addicts can't appreciate the intensity of craving when they aren't currently experiencing it, as these results suggest, it seems unlikely that those who have never experienced a craving could predict its motivational force," Dr. George Loewenstein, a professor at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh who was involved in the study, said in a press release.
Addicts who are in treatment may think they will be okay out of treatment, added co-investigator Dr. Warren K. Bickel of the University of Arkansas. "However, if they underestimate the power of drugs, they may be surprised that they relapse."
Similarly, "adolescents may think that they can try drugs without ill consequence. But they may underestimate how powerful a drug is and therefore expose themselves to the drug," Bickel said.
SOURCE: Journal of Health Economics, online January 16, 2007.
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